23 September 2021 Updated modelling exploring how high rates of vaccine coverage might reduce the health burden from COVID-19 if combined with moderate public health measures to reduce transmission of the virus. Aotearoa New Zealand is on track to vaccinate upwards of...
20 September 2021 This report details the methods used for calculating the estimated weekly incidence of COVID-19-like and influenza-like illness in Aotearoa New Zealand, using data from the FluTracking weekly survey. FluTracking is a participatory health surveillance...
In the first weeks of the 2021 Auckland August COVID-19 outbreak, the contagion network team provided a number of reports to officials with estimates of the likely size of the outbreak and updates on the estimated effect of Alert Level interventions on curtailing...
15 September 2021 We use a range of data sources and analytic approaches to estimate the number of movements between regions of Aotearoa and to give some estimates of the risk of transmission of COVID-19 to regions outside of Auckland, during the early stages of the...
7 September 2021 Here are two technical reports in which we consider the epidemic course for the August 2021 cluster, detected on 17 August in Auckland, following the shift to Alert Level 4 restrictions in New Zealand, using a stochastic branching process model. On 17...
