NEW RESEARCH — LINK TO FULL PDF HERE 5 June 2020 Probability of elimination for COVID-19 in Aotearoa New Zealand Executive Summary Our model of COVID-19 spread estimates that after 2-3 weeks of no new reported cases, there is a 95% probability that...
NEW RESEARCH — LINK TO FULL PDF HERE 22 May 2020 Effective reproduction number for COVID-19 in Aotearoa New Zealand Executive Summary The effective reproduction number, Reff, is the average number of secondary cases infected by a primary case, a key...
NEW RESEARCH — LINK TO FULL PDF HERE 15 May 2020 A structured model for COVID-19 spread: Modelling age and healthcare inequities Executive Summary We develop a structured model to look at the spread of COVID-19 in different groups within the population....
NEW RESEARCH — LINK TO FULL PDF HERE 22 April 2020 Effect of Alert Level 4 on Reff : review of international COVID-19 cases Executive Summary In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, countries around the world are implementing a range of intervention...
NEW RESEARCH — LINK TO FULL PDF HERE 17 April 2020 Estimated inequities in COVID-19 infection fatality rates by ethnicity for Aotearoa New Zealand Executive Summary There is limited evidence as to how COVID-19 infection fatality rates (IFR) may vary by...
